Between Crooked Timber and Volokh Conspiracy, one would suppose the meaning of the US winning in Iraq is clear. Can't see it. With respect to the various justificatory accounts for the invasion offered by the Bush Administration (who, after all, directed the process and so should rightly be treated as at least first claim on such accounts), the US has already won. Hussein is out of power and the (mythical) WMDs are not available to the Iraqi government. If so, there is no sane person who could wish the US not succeed or that it fail -- the relevant events are past and so the most one might do is regret the success. I do not think that is what is meant, however, despite the fact that it is what the phrase would be expected to mean. I suppose instead, US success might mean an end to the insurgency. That seems off too as the US would succeed on that account even if it suffered a military defeat -- or the insurgents through some other means took control of government and the Coalition left. Which suggests that the phrase is intended to mean something like 'wishes the US suffers unacceptably high losses.' (One wonders why not just say that -- it is pretty easy and far clearer.) I don't know if there are lots of such folks -- or even what lots would entail given that the relevant populations are counted in the hundreds of millions. That is a side issue. There is another possibility, which is that the phrase is supposed to mean that the (soon to be settled, one may hope) Iraqi government is independent of the US, or is Islamist in some important sense. Those would be perfectly good interpretations. I wonder which is intended by Volokh? And whichever interpretation one picks, how would it connect to the murder of a journalist? It is extraordinarily unlikely that any amount of journalist killing will affect US conduct in Iraq, or Coalition conduct. There does not seem to be reason to suppose that whoever it is that hopes the US fails in Iraq is so inutterably thick as to think that the murder of some journalist has an identifiable effect of any kind, even cumulative, on the likelihood of US success.
The puzzles multiply when one looks at such posturing -- condemning whoever it is that holds some vague set of views: hopes for US defeat in Iraq. What exactly would success be? Why would a religious state constitute a defeat? If ethnic and cultural purity are so awful, what is to be made of the developments in the Kurd dominated north? If it is violent enforcement, one has the same concerns. Admittedly, it is just a matter of consistency. And suppose one thinks the invasion illegal -- should one then ignore that fact and simply support order? Haven't we had enough of such things in the PRC or RSA? What exactly is the salient difference justifying use of force by foreigners and prohibiting resistance by locals?
The point is not that EV or someone else is supposed to be able to answer everything in advance before they speak. It is instead that once again we have a political debate that makes no sense.
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